What is Liquidation Value?
Unlike human beings, a company is not a natural person. Its identity is different from that of its owners and managers. So, a death that seems to be inevitable for human beings is something that can be avoided from a company’s point of view. Many companies go on for hundreds of years. However, even a company can shut down either on account of law (mostly on account of bankruptcy) or at the discretion of the management or the desire of the owners of the company.
Let us look at Fitbit’s share price movement over the past few quarters. We note that Fitbit stock plummeted by more than 90%. Does this mean Fitbit is now trading at an all-time low and is a buying opportunity? One way to perform a valuation check is to compare Fitbit’s share price with its Liquidation Value.
Is Fitbit trading below its liquidation value?
In this article, we discuss Liquidation value in detail –
Liquidation Value Definition
Liquidation is nothing but the process by which the company’s business is brought to an end, and the company is dissolved. All the assets which belong to the company are distributed amongst its creditors, lenders, shareholders, etc., based on seniority of claims.
Book Value vs. Liquidation Value of an asset
Before understanding more about liquidation value, let us understand the meaning of “book value of assets”Book Value of Assets is the asset’s value in the books of records of a company or an institution at any given instance. Assets Book Value Formula = Total Value of an Asset – Depreciation – Other Expenses Directly Related to it read more. The asset’s book value is the value at which the asset is carried on a balance sheet. It is arrived at by deducting total accumulated depreciationTotal Accumulated DepreciationThe accumulated depreciation of an asset is the amount of cumulative depreciation charged on the asset from its purchase date until the reporting date. It is a contra-account, the difference between the asset’s purchase price and its carrying value on the balance sheet.read more from the total cost of acquisition.
E.g., Company ABC purchases a piece of office furniture at the price of $ 1,00,000. Apart from the purchase price, they also end up paying the following expenses to bring the furniture to the required location:
- Loading & unloading charges – $ 1,000Interest charges to be paid on borrowed funds for buying furniture – $ 2,500
So total cost of acquisition will be $ 1,00,000 + $ 1,000 + $ 2,500 = $ 1,03,500
Depreciation on furniture (for the sake of convenience, let us say that the depreciation rate is 10% p.a. on the written down value)
- Year 1 = 10% * $ 1,03,500 = $ 10,350Year 2 = 10% * ($ 1,03,500 – $ 10,350) = $ 9,315
So, the book value of this piece of office furniture at the end of year 2 will be $ 1,03,500 – $ 10,350 – $ 9,315 = $ 83,835.
If we were to take the liquidation value of the above furniture, we would look more at the asset’s market value rather than the book value of the asset. The current market price, which it can fetch at the end of 2 years, is $ 90,000, and this will be considered as the liquidation value and not $ 83,835, which is the asset’s book value.
The simplest explanation for the above is that when a company is in the liquidationLiquidationLiquidation is the process of winding up a business or a segment of the business by selling off its assets. The amount realized by this is used to pay off the creditors and all other liabilities of the business in a specific order.read more phase, it puts an end to its business and sells its assets to pay its debt. The selling price will be considered as the liquidation value and not the book value.
Salvage Value vs. Liquidation Value of an asset
There is something known as the “salvage value” of assets. It, again, is different from the liquidation value of the asset. The salvage valueThe Salvage ValueSalvage value or scrap value is the estimated value of an asset after its useful life is over. For example, if a company’s machinery has a 5-year life and is only valued $5000 at the end of that time, the salvage value is $5000.read more is the asset’s estimated value at the end of the asset’s useful life. At the time of liquidation, the asset may or may not have reached the end of its useful life, and it may fetch more than the salvage value.
E.g., The office furniture in the above example has a useful life of 10 years, after which its salvage value is expected to be $ 5000. But as clearly seen above, the market value is $ 90,000 for the given asset. It will be considered the liquidation value.
Liquidation Value Calculation of a Company
The above pointers help us understand the liquidation value of a single asset. In the simplest terms, liquidation value tells you the quantum which will be available to the shareholders if the company were to shut down in a very short period. On similar lines, let us now understand how to calculate the company’s liquidation value as a whole.
The simplest way to find out this value is to go through the following steps:
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Step 1 – Prepare the Balance Sheet of the company.
Prepare the company’s balance sheet as per normal accounting policiesNormal Accounting PoliciesAccounting policies refer to the framework or procedure followed by the management for bookkeeping and preparation of the financial statements. It involves accounting methods and practices determined at the corporate level.read more as on the date on which you would like to find out the liquidation value.
Following is the balance sheet of ABC Limited as of 31st December 2015:
Step 2 – Find the Market value of Tangible Assets.
Now, you take the company’s tangible assets and find the market values of the same. At times, the purpose of finding the liquidation value may not necessarily be to wind up the company. It can be done for analysis purposes, as well. In this case, finding the market value for every asset may be inconvenient, and many companies resort to assigning a recovery percentage to each asset. It has to be as close to the market value as possible.
Some of the examples of recovery ratios are as follows:
- Cash and bank deposits will have a recovery of 100%Land owned by the company in a prime area may recover 150% as land prices generally appreciate in most developed/developing areas.Accounts receivablesAccounts ReceivablesAccounts receivables is the money owed to a business by clients for which the business has given services or delivered a product but has not yet collected payment. They are categorized as current assets on the balance sheet as the payments expected within a year.
- read more generally have a recovery percentage of around 65% to 70%. The business is coming to an end, and companies do get away by not paying small amounts in case of winding up.
Now coming back to the above example, let us apply the above pointers to figure out the recovery ratios for the assets:
Since liquidation value does not take into account intangible assets; the market value of all intangible assets will be marked as 0. (Recovery ratio will be 0% in this case)
In the above example, there are no intangible assets like goodwill. But the company would have taken the recovery ratio as 0%, just like prepaid insurance.
Step 3 – Liquidation Value of Liabilities
Now, you need to subtract all liabilities from the total liquidation value of all assets. There is no point in calculating the market value of liabilities because, unlike assets, there will be no separate book value and market value. You will have to pay the entire amount reflected in the balance sheet.
Step 4 – Calculate Net Liquidation Value
The net amount derived from the amount will be the company’s liquidation value, which will be available to the shareholders. There is a possibility (especially in the case of bankrupt companies) that the liquidation value may be negative, which means that the company does not have enough assets to repay its lenders. In this case, the lenders will be paid based on the priority of claims they hold on the company’s assets.
Let us drill down the above example of ABC Limited to determine how to arrive at the final liquidation value for different stakeholders.
FITBIT’s Example
Fitbit’s stock has beaten in the last few quarters (as seen from the graph below).
In this example, we determine whether Fitbit is trading below its liquidation value.
source: ycharts
Step 1 – Download Fitbit’s Balance Sheet.
Step 2 – Find Liquidation Value of Fitbit’s Assets
To find the liquidation value of Fitbit’s assets, we assign a recovery rate to each class of assets. The reasons for the recovery rate were discussed in the earlier example.
- Cash and Cash equivalentsCash And Cash EquivalentsCash and Cash Equivalents are assets that are short-term and highly liquid investments that can be readily converted into cash and have a low risk of price fluctuation. Cash and paper money, US Treasury bills, undeposited receipts, and Money Market funds are its examples. They are normally found as a line item on the top of the balance sheet asset. read more and Marketable SecuritiesMarketable SecuritiesMarketable securities are liquid assets that can be converted into cash quickly and are classified as current assets on a company’s balance sheet. Commercial Paper, Treasury notes, and other money market instruments are included in it.read more are assigned a 100% recovery rate.Accounts Receivables is assigned a recovery rate of 75%Inventories are assigned a recovery of 50%Prepaid expensesPrepaid ExpensesPrepaid expenses refer to advance payments made by a firm whose benefits are acquired in the future. Payment for the goods is made in the current accounting period, but the delivery is received in the upcoming accounting period.read more are assigned a recovery of 0%Property Plant and equipment are assigned a recovery rate of 25%Other assets are assigned a recovery rate of 50%Goodwill, Intangible Assets, and Deferred Tax AssetsDeferred Tax AssetsA deferred tax asset is an asset to the Company that usually arises when either the Company has overpaid taxes or paid advance tax. Such taxes are recorded as an asset on the balance sheet and are eventually paid back to the Company or deducted from future taxes.read more are assigned a recovery rate of 0%
The total Liquidation value of Assets comes out to be $1,154,433 (‘000)
Step 3 – Find Liquidation Value of Fitbit’s Liabilities
- We have assumed that all liabilities have to be paid out in full.Each type of liability is therefore assigned a recovery rate of 100%
Fitbit’s Liabilities’ total Liquidation value is $573,122 (‘000).
Please note that Fitbit does not have debt in its book.
Step 4 – Calculate Net Liquidation Value of Fitbit
- Net Liquidation Value Formula = Liquidation value of Assets – Liquidation value of LiabilitiesNet Liquidation Value of Fitbit = $1,154,433 (‘000) – $573,122 (‘000) = $581,312 (‘000)
Step 5 – Find Per Share Liquidation Value of Fitbit
To find the per share liquidation value, we require the total number of shares outstanding.
We note that the total number of basic shares outstandingShares OutstandingOutstanding shares are the stocks available with the company’s shareholders at a given point of time after excluding the shares that the entity had repurchased. It is shown as a part of the owner’s equity in the liability side of the company’s balance sheet.read more is 222,412 (‘000)
source: Fitbit SEC Filings
Liquidation Value Per Share = $581,312 (‘000) / 222,412 (‘000) = 2.61x
Fitbit is trading at 2.61x of its liquidation value. It implies that Fitbit is trading very close to its liquidation value. If this stock falls further, then it will be a buy.
Using Tangible Book Value as a proxy
- Tangible Book Value Formula = Book Value of Assets – Book Value of Liabilities – Intangible Assets
Let’s compare the Tangible Book Value formulaBook Value FormulaThe book value formula determines the net asset value receivable by the common shareholders if the company dissolves. It is calculated by deducting the preferred stocks and total liabilities from the total assets of the company.read more with the Liquidation Value formula.
- Liquidation Value Formula = Liquidation Value of Assets – Liquidation Value of Liabilities
While liquidation, the Liquidation value of Liabilities = Book Value of Liabilities.
So the formula above becomes,
- Liquidation Value Formula = Liquidation Value of Assets – Book Value of Liabilities
We are now calculating Liquidation Value of Assets = SUM (recovery rate of each asset x book value of assets).
In this formula, we assume that the recovery rate of Intangible Assets is 0%. It removes intangible assets from the liquidation value of Assets.
For other assets, the recovery rate is less than 100%, and therefore the Liquidation value of Assets is less than (Book value of Assets – Intangible Assets).
We note that even though the Liquidation value is less than the Tangible book value, it is a great proxy for identifying stocks that are trading close (below) the liquidation value.
Using the Price to tangible book value ratio provides a relative valuation multiple for making such a comparison.
- If the price to tangible book value is less than 1, then the share price is trading below its tangible book value. It implies that if the company is liquidated today, the shareholders will profit from higher tangible book value.If the price to tangible book value is greater than 1, the share price is trading above its tangible book value. It implies that if the company is liquidated today, the shareholders will be at a loss.
Let us pick some practical examples where Tangible Book Value (~Liquidation value) is greater than the Share Price.
Noble Corp Example
Take a look at Noble Corp Price to Tangible Book Value. Noble Corp owns and operates advanced fleets in the offshore drilling industry.
Noble Corp’s tangible book value was above 1.0x in 2012-2013. It resulted in a share decrease in Price to Tangible book value and is currently trading at 0.23x. Due to the commodities (Oil) slowdown, Noble Corp stock prices plummeted from a high of $32.50 in July 2013 to $6.87 currently.
Transocean Example
Likewise, have a look at Transocean’s Price to Tangible Book Value. Transocean is an offshore drilling contractor and is based in Vernier, Switzerland.
We note a similar trend in Transocean Price to Tangible Book value. In 2013, Transocean was trading at a price to tangible book value of 1.62x; however, it has sharply declined to 0.361x. Transocean is another example where the Liquidation value is greater than the Stock Price.
Let us now pick some other examples where the Liquidation value is negative.
Fiat Chrysler Example
Stocks with negative Liquidation Value imply that if these companies are liquidated today, the shareholders will not be able to recover their investments. Let us take Fiat Chrysler’s example.
Fiat Chrysler’s price to book value is 0.966x; however, its Price to “tangible” book value is -2.08x. This implies that if Fiat Chrysler is to liquidate today, the shareholders will not recover their money (forgot about profiting from the investment).
Liquidation Value Video
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